Pre-Match Prediction: Liverpool vs Chelsea
Oct 28, 2024

Gaétan Lajeune - Ishdeep Chadha
Under Slot, Liverpool have been unstoppable, while Maresca’s Chelsea are finding their groove. Both managers will be desperate to outwit each other in what could be a defining moment of the season. ⚔️
With the Kop ready to erupt and Chelsea looking to spoil the party, one thing’s for sure: sparks are going to fly. Let’s break it down. 🔍
Shooting Efficiency: Clinical Chelsea vs Liverpool’s Volume Approach
The first seven gameweeks of the Premier League season have shown two different shooting styles from Liverpool and Chelsea. Liverpool, with 107 shots, managed to score 13 goals, while Chelsea, more efficient with their chances, scored 16 goals from just 96 shots. 📊

The xG tells a deeper story, with Liverpool generating an xG of 14.04 and Chelsea slightly higher at 14.68, showing that both teams created similar-quality chances. However, Chelsea’s higher goal tally indicates their clinical edge—finishing better than expected compared to their xG. On the other hand, Liverpool’s finishing hasn’t been as sharp, underperforming relative to their xG. 🔑
In terms of shot distance, Liverpool had more close-range opportunities, averaging 9.3 yards, compared to Chelsea's 10.0 yards. This suggests that Liverpool found themselves in better goal-scoring positions, but Chelsea’s ability to convert from slightly farther out gave them the upper hand in terms of goal tally. 🎯
Looking at individual performances, Mohamed Salah led Liverpool with 22 shots, while for Chelsea, Palmer has been the main threat with 24 attempts. Other key contributors include Diaz (15) and Jota (14) for Liverpool, and Madueke (22) and Jackson (19) for Chelsea. ⚡
Both teams know what adjustments could make the difference. For Liverpool to turn their shot volume into points, finding that clinical touch will be key—getting Salah, Diaz, and Jota in those prime areas to finish more effectively. Meanwhile, for Chelsea, maintaining that efficiency and giving players like Palmer and Madueke the chances they thrive on will be the formula for success. ⚔️
Gloves On: Keepers Ready for Battle!
When it comes to facing shots, both Liverpool and Chelsea have had to rely on their keepers, but the numbers show two different stories. 🧤

Chelsea’s defense? A bit more porous, conceding 97 on-goal shots compared to Liverpool’s 64. That's a huge gap! 🚨 While Chelsea’s goalkeepers have done a solid job saving 62 shots with an xGOT saved of 5.59, it’s clear their defense has been more vulnerable.
Liverpool, on the other hand, looks rock solid at the back. Their defense under Slot has been tough as nails, with fewer shots conceded and a solid xGOT saved of 4.98. 💪 But it's not just about the keepers—Liverpool’s defense has done a brilliant job at limiting high-quality chances in the first place.
With both teams’ keepers performing admirably, the defensive structures will play a key role. For Chelsea, shoring up that backline and reducing the number of shots will be essential, especially with Liverpool’s attack ready to pounce. Meanwhile, Liverpool’s defense just needs to stay focused and continue keeping the opposition at arm’s length. 🔐
The Game’s Orchestrators: Salah and Palmer’s Influence on the Pitch
Mohamed Salah continues to be Liverpool’s talisman, delivering a perfectly balanced mix of threat through both passing (1.49 xT) and carrying the ball (1.24 xT). His ability to shift from creator to finisher is what keeps defenders guessing and Klopp smiling. Whether it’s slipping in behind the backline or setting up teammates, Salah remains the key man to unlock defenses. ⚡️
For Chelsea, Palmer has once again proven his worth. After showing flashes of brilliance in previous seasons, this year he’s stepped up as Chelsea’s creative linchpin. With 1.25 xT through passing, Palmer is pulling the strings in Maresca’s system, making things happen from midfield, and showing why he’s earned his place in this Chelsea side. Consistency was the big question mark, and Palmer has silenced the critics with his creativity and vision. 🎩
Liverpool’s Ryan Gravenberch has truly owned the middle of the park, excelling both defensively and offensively. He’s the engine behind Liverpool’s build-up play and has proven crucial in winning back possession and driving the team forward, with 1.22 xT from passing alone. 💪
Meanwhile, Virgil van Dijk and Moisés Caicedo stand out with impressive xT carry stats, showing how crucial they are in progressing the ball from deep areas. Their ability to drive forward and open up space for their teams is something neither manager can afford to overlook. 🔑

Klopp needs to keep feeding Salah in those dangerous areas, where his dual threat can be fully unleashed, while Maresca will rely on Palmer to exploit Liverpool’s defensive gaps with his smart passes and quick movement. If Gravenberch and van Dijk continue to dominate the transitions, Liverpool will hold the upper hand, but Chelsea’s midfield, with Palmer pulling the strings, could create plenty of chaos for Klopp’s backline. It’s all about who can execute their creative play in the final third. ⚽
Defensive Powerhouses: Van Dijk & Fofana Take Command
As both teams prepare for what promises to be a high-octane encounter, the defensive contributions of key players like Virgil van Dijk and Wesley Fofana will be pivotal. Van Dijk’s towering presence has led to an impressive 39 clearances for Liverpool, showing once again why he’s considered a defensive rock, consistently pulling his team out of danger. Wesley Fofana has been equally critical for Chelsea, registering 27 clearances, often stepping in to shut down threatening attacks. 💪

Ryan Gravenberch and Levi Colwill shine in reading the game for their respective sides. Gravenberch’s 12 interceptions highlight his ability to anticipate and disrupt the opponent's flow, crucial for Liverpool’s high-press system. Meanwhile, Colwill has mirrored this awareness for Chelsea, with 10 interceptions of his own, ensuring that dangerous plays are cut off before they can fully develop. ⚔️
Let’s not forget the full-backs: Alexander-Arnold and Gusto. Both players bring a balance of defensive solidity and attacking prowess to their teams. While known for his attacking flair, Alexander-Arnold’s 10 tackles show his ability to contribute defensively when needed, with 11 clearances reinforcing his dual role. Gusto, Chelsea’s own dynamic full-back, has managed 11 clearances and 8 tackles, standing strong defensively while still providing a forward threat. ⚡
The defensive strategies of both managers will likely hinge on these key players. As the game unfolds, it will be up to these defenders to not only maintain their composure under pressure, but also to anticipate and neutralize their opponent’s key threats. Adjustments on defensive shape could make all the difference. 🛡️
Wings vs. Centre: Different Paths to Goal Creation
Liverpool and Chelsea are worlds apart in how they generate their best chances.

Klopp’s men have been exploiting the wings, with players like Luis Diaz in red-hot form and Salah proving once again why he's one of the Premier League’s most dangerous forwards. Their attacks are often channeled from wide areas before cutting into the box to create chances, as shown by their 11 chances from the left flank and 10 from the right. 🔴
Meanwhile, Maresca's Chelsea prefer a more central approach. With 13 chances created just outside the box, it's clear that their strategy revolves around breaking down the opposition through the middle. The influence of Cole Palmer has been vital here, showcasing his ability to pull the strings in those central areas. 🔵
As both teams prepare to face off, it’s a battle of width versus central creativity—two contrasting styles that could determine the outcome. The challenge for Klopp will be making the most of those wide channels, while Maresca will be counting on Palmer and his midfield generals to find those killer passes through the heart of Liverpool's defense. 🔥
As we gear up for this high-stakes clash at Anfield, both Liverpool and Chelsea bring their unique strengths and tactics to the table. The Reds, driven by relentless wing play and Salah’s magic, will look to dominate the flanks and force Chelsea into uncomfortable positions. Meanwhile, Maresca’s Chelsea will focus on their central dominance, with Palmer pulling the strings and keeping Liverpool’s defense on high alert.
Both teams know what’s at stake, and it’s going to be a tactical chess match where every move matters. Will Liverpool’s wide play break through Chelsea’s defense, or will Chelsea’s central precision outsmart Klopp’s men?
We’ll find out soon enough – and don’t worry, we’ll be back to break it all down in our next Score Insights! Stay tuned for the full post-match analysis.